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Luton Town Derby County betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be for both teams to score at least one goal. Both Luton and Derby must improve their performance under their respective conditions. If, on the one hand, Luton has not won at home for three consecutive games, on the other, Derby has won just one of the last fifteen foreign performances. It should be noted that the “Both Scores - Yes” market has won in six of the last seven matches at this stadium.
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Preview
Luton Town and Derby County face at Kenilworth Road Stadium, in a match for the 29th round of the Championship. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 05‑10‑2019, Derby County got a home win by (2‑0). The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 24th and 15th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 23th best team in home matches and the 21th best in away matches.

Analysis Luton

The home team is currently in the 24th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Birmingham City, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Nottingham Forest, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 39 conceded, against 15 points won at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. For the league, Luton Town won 11 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 7 of the last 28 matches for the Championship, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 4 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. They have conceded the first goal in 21 of their 28 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 13 home matches for this competition: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Luton comes unmotivated for this match after an away defeat by 3-1, against Nottingham. The home team usually plays in a traditional 4-3-3, favoring a faster playing style. It should be noted that, in this drawing, the three most advanced players are LuaLua, Collins and Cornick, with the greatest quality of the striker Collins being his ability to clear. Luton has a hard time maintaining possession, and their players are not the best at game foresight. When the opposing team attacks more quickly, that is, in transition, Luton's defensive becomes very permeable.

Confirmed Lineup: Simon Sluga, Sonny Bradley, Daniel Potts, James Bree, Matthew Pearson, Glen Rea, Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu, Kazenga LuaLua, Ryan Tunnicliffe, James Collins, Harry Cornick.

Analysis Derby

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 37 points won, after 9 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Middlesbrough, by (2‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Hull City, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 8 points in away matches and 29 points at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 11 goals conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 25 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got an away tie against Northampton Town by (0‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Derby County has a record of 4 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 12 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Derby enters this match after a 0-0 draw at home to Northhampton, counting for the FA Cup. Like the "enemy" of this round, the visiting team chooses to play in a traditional 4-3-3, where the three most advanced players are Lawrence, Waghorn and Knight. By acting out of doors, it is expected that Derby adopts a more defensive posture, with the aim of not losing the grip of the match. Coach Phillip Cocu should not be able to count on Richard Keogh and Krystian Bielik for being handed over to the medical department.

Confirmed Lineup: Ben Hamer, Jayden Bogle, Matthew Clarke, Andre Wisdom, Max Lowe, Max Bird, Tom Lawrence, Duane Holmes, Jason Knight, Martyn Waghorn.
Coach: W. Rooney.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Luton vs Derby match, on 29 January 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Luton vs Derby on 29 January 2020 will be played at Luton, Kenilworth Road Stadium.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy India, for the Luton Derby match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Derby at with 78% of the tips.

 

Championship - 2019/2020

  • 100% 557 / 557 Games

  • Home team wins 41.65%
  • Draws 26.75%
  • Away team wins 31.6%
  • Over 1.5 73.43%
  • Over 2.5 49.37%
  • Over 3.5 26.75%
  • Goals 1467
  • Goals /match 2.63
  • Goals /match home 1.41
  • Goals /match away 1.23
  • Both teams score 52.96%
  • Goals after 80' 18.4%
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