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Derby County Leeds United betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this challenge will be for Leeds to win. In case of a positive result, Marcelo Bielsa's side become champion of the Championship. It should be noted that Derby have less resources for this match, both individual and collective and are already just fulfilling schedule. In this way, Leeds are expected to have the best danger situations and conquer the three points.
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Preview
Derby County and Leeds United meet at iPro Stadium, in a match for the 45th round of the Championship. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 21‑09‑2019. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 11‑05‑2019, in a match for the Championship, Leeds United won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by K. Roofe (55' ). Although this is a match between 12th and 1st of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 2nd best in home matches and the 2nd best in away matches.

Analysis Derby

After 13 wins, 12 draws and 12 losses, the home team is in the 12th position, havinf won 51 points so far. In the last match, they have won at home against Blackburn Rovers by (3‑0), after in the previous match they have won (1‑3) an away match against Sheffield Wednesday. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 37 points, against only 14 points in away matches. In the last 10 home league matches Derby County has a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (7 out of 19 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. 13 of their last 19 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 16 of their 37 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Derby come to this round unmotivated after a 2-1 defeat at Cardiff. The home team choose to play in a traditional 4-3-3, where the three most advanced players are usually Martin, Knight and Lawrence. Even playing away from home, it is expected that Derby will adopt a more defensive posture, with the aim of trying not to suffer the first goal of the match. In the central area of the field, it is possible to line up Rooney, Sibley and Bird. Coach Phillip Cocu is expected to have three absences for this round, due to injury: Jack Marriott, Krystian Bielik and Andre Wisdom. It should be noted that striker Martyn Waghorn will also not be present for being suspended.

Confirmed Lineup: Kelle Roos, Matthew Clarke, Jayden Bogle, Curtis Davies, Craig Forsyth, Tom Lawrence, Louie Sibley, Max Bird, Martyn Waghorn, Chris Martin.
Coach: W. Rooney, W. Rooney.

Analysis Leeds

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 71 points won, after 21 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Hull City, by (0‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against Huddersfield Town, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 26 goals scored and 13 conceded at home, against 30 goals scored and 17 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Leeds United has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

The team led by Marcelo Bielsa come to this match motivated after a 1-0 home victory over Barnsley: it was through an own-goal that Leeds  managed to get the advantage in the match. Contrary to the opponent of this round, the visiting team opt to play in a traditional 5-2-3, where the three most advanced players are Hélder Costa, Bamford and Roberts. Even playing away from home it is expected that Leeds will assume the favoritism that is attributed to them at the start. Coach Marcelo Bielsa should not be able to count on midfielder Adam Forshaw for being injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Kiko Casilla, Pascal Struijk, Gaetano Berardi, Barry Douglas, Ben White, Jamie Shackleton, Ezgjan Alioski, Ian Poveda-Ocampo, Pablo Hernández, Stuart Dallas, Tyler Roberts.
Coach: S. Allardyce.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Derby vs Leeds match, on 19 July 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Leeds wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Derby vs Leeds on 19 July 2020 will be played at Derby, Pride Park Stadium.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy India, for the Derby Leeds match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Leeds at with 70% of the tips.

 

Championship - 2019/2020

  • 100% 557 / 557 Games

  • Home team wins 41.65%
  • Draws 26.75%
  • Away team wins 31.6%
  • Over 1.5 73.43%
  • Over 2.5 49.37%
  • Over 3.5 26.75%
  • Goals 1467
  • Goals /match 2.63
  • Goals /match home 1.41
  • Goals /match away 1.23
  • Both teams score 52.96%
  • Goals after 80' 18.4%
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