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Porto VS Dortmund

Preview
Porto and Borussia Dortmund face at Estádio Do Dragão, in a 2nd leg match for the Liga Europa (16 avos de final), after the (2‑0) home win by Borussia Dortmund in the 1st leg match.

Analysis of Porto

After the away loss in the 1st leg, the home team comes to this match with the hard task of having to recover from a 2 goals disadvantage and haven't scored any away goals in the first match. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got a home win against Moreirense by (3‑2). In the last 10 home matches o Porto has won 5, tied 2 and lost 3.

They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

Porto reaches this match after a 3-2 win against Moreirense after being down 2-0. Layun, Suk and Evandro were the goal scorers. In this match, after a disadvantage in the first match, it is expected for coach Jose Peseiro to use a very offensive side as a way to surprise the opposition. However, it is important to highlight that this strategy is bad for the Blue and White team, because it exposes their weak defense. Vincent Aboubakar is still a top of the goal scorer list with 16 goals. Bruno Martins Indi and Alberto Bueno are injured and won't play.

Confirmed Lineup: Casillas, M. Layún, M. Pereira, Ivan Marcano, Cote, Evandro, Silvestre Varela, Danilo Pereira, Rúben Neves, V. Aboubakar, M. Marega.
Coach: José Peseiro.

Analysis of Borussia Dortmund

The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 2 goals, but has suffered 0 goals at home in the 1st leg. In their last match, for the Bundesliga, they got an away win against o Bayer Leverkusen by (0‑1). In the last 5 Liga Europa away matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses.

Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 62 of the last 71 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 49 out of 71 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 3.

Borussia Dortmund's side gets into this matchup with 4 consecutive wins, with the last one coming away from home against Bayer Leverkusen, 1-0. In this challenge they look for a win, but a draw would be enough to make them advance. So it is expected for coach Thomas Tuchel to play in a 4-3-3 formation, prioritising defensive organization and organized attacks. The team's best scorer is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, with 31 goals. Everything indicates to Sokratis being out with an injury.

Confirmed Lineup: R. Bürki, S. Bender, M. Ginter, M. Hummels, M. Schmelzer, İ. Gündoğan, H. Mkhitaryan, J. Weigl, S. Kagawa, P. Aubameyang, M. Reus.
Coach: T. Tuchel.

Betting suggestion:

The most probable scenario for this match is the occurrence of a couple of goals. We believe in an open game with a lot of goal scoring opportunities for both sides. It is expected that Porto's side will play a risky game, because they are at home and need the win. On the other hand, Dortmund will likely play in counter attacks as a way to take advantage of space in the opponent's defense.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Tips
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UEFA Europa League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 475 / 475 Games

  • Home team wins 45.47%
  • Draws 24.63%
  • Away team wins 29.89%
  • Over 1.5 70.53%
  • Over 2.5 47.37%
  • Over 3.5 25.89%
  • Goals 1220
  • Goals /match 2.57
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 1.08
  • Both teams score 45.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.21%
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