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Mariehamn Ilves betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This is a match involving two very similar teams (5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses for each in the current competition, and both score the same 20 points). Therefore, the probability is that the market is favorable for “Under 3.5 goals”, just as it has been common for these teams so far. In addition, both teams seek to find the best balance to achieve a positive result and will be worried about not scoring goals.
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Preview
Mariehamn and Ilves face at Wiklöf Holding Arena, in a match for the 16th round of the Veikkausliiga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 01‑07‑2020, Ilves got a home win by (4‑3). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 9 head‑to‑heads they won 4, tied 2 and lost 3. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Veikkausliiga, played on 06‑10‑2019, they tied (2‑2). The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 7th and 8th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 5th best team in home matches and the 10th best in away matches.

Analysis Mariehamn

After 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 20 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against HIFK by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against TPS. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 12 points, against only 8 points in away matches. In the last 7 home league matches Mariehamn has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 12 points out of 21 possible.

They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 8 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); they have conceded 4 of their 7 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

The home team arrives for this match shaken by the last results in the current competition. Without winning in 4 rounds (counting 3 draws and 1 loss), IFK Mariehamn fell from 5th to 7th place and can even land 9th on the leaderboard if they don't win the 3 points in this match. Currently, Mariehamn has 20 points in 15 rounds played, counting 5 wins, 5 losses and 5 draws, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. As we can see, this is a team that swings the opposing net frequently, not least because it has Veikkausliiga's isolated scorer Albion Ademi, with 12 goals scored. However, the defensive system is the 3rd worst, and it is a cause for concern and caution for the team in this match, as the positive result is fundamental for the final stretch of the competition.

Confirmed Lineup: Oskari Forsman, Kalle Taimi, Franklin Okoye, Mikko Sumusalo, Gustav Backaliden, Saku Ylätupa, Peter Makrillos, Riku Sjöroos, Joel Karlstrom, Akseli Pelvas, Albion Ademi.

Analysis Ilves

The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against HJK, by (1‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Haka, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 7 points in away matches and 13 points at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 9 goals conceded at home, against 9 goals scored and 14 conceded in away matches. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (3‑2) against Honka. In the last 7 away league matches Ilves has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 12 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

The sending team arrives for this match discouraged as they tied in the previous round after losing twice in a row. That is, they have three games without winning. Currently, Ilves Tampere ranks 8th on the leaderboard, scoring 20 points in 15 rounds: in all there were 5 victories, 5 draws and 5 losses, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. As we can observe, this is a team that rarely fails to swing the nets, but that cannot stay at the top of the table due to the defensive instability that has presented so far. This was the case in the last 3 rounds: 4 goals scored (at least 1 per match), but with 6 conceded (average of 2 per game). So, as they face a direct opponent in the table, who adds the same 20 points as Ilves at this moment, the expectation is that this will be a fairly balanced match, just as it was in the first match between these teams.

Confirmed Lineup: Mika Hilander, Felipe Aspegren, Mikael Almen, Tatu Miettunen, Diogo Tomas, Miska Rautiola, Doni Arifi, Jair, Lauri Ala-Myllymäki, Stenio, Gaëtan Kouakou.
Coach: J. Wiss.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Mariehamn vs Ilves match, on 23 September 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Mariehamn vs Ilves on 23 September 2020 will be played at Maarianhamina (Mariehamn), Ahvenanmaa (Åland), Wiklöf Holding Arena.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy India, for the Mariehamn Ilves match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Ilves at with 50% of the tips.

 

Veikkausliiga - 2020

  • 100% 132 / 132 Games

  • Home team wins 40.15%
  • Draws 25%
  • Away team wins 34.85%
  • Over 1.5 78.03%
  • Over 2.5 53.03%
  • Over 3.5 34.85%
  • Goals 372
  • Goals /match 2.82
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 1.36
  • Both teams score 51.52%
  • Goals after 80' 16.67%
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