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Peru Ecuador betting prediction

Peru logo
Peru
  • 0 - 2
  • Played
Ecuador logo
Ecuador

Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be unbalanced, considering that the home team has a squad of better quality and has been evolving with each passing game, while the opponent has only average squad and has accumulated bad games against national teams far below the quality of his next opponent. In addition, Peru is very organized both offensively and defensively and has won the last 7 friendlies it played at home, while Ecuador has won only 1 of the last 9 away friendlies and the victory was against El Salvador's poor national team and also comes from a defeat to Qatar where it suffered 4 goals. In view of these factors, we believe Peru will assert all its superiority and the strength it has been playing at home to conquer the 3 points.
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Preview
Peru and Ecuador face at Estadio Nacional de Lima, in a friendly match. This is the 10th friendly match of the year for Peru, after friendly matches against United States, Chile, Germany, Netherlands, Sweden, Saudi Arabia, Scotland, Iceland and Croatia. As for Ecuador, this is the 5th friendly match of the year, after previous friendly matches against Oman, Qatar, Guatemala and Jamaica. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 05‑09‑2017, and ended in a (1‑2) win by Peru. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Ecuador presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Peru

This is the 10th friendly match of the year for the home team, after having registered the following final scores in the previous friendlies: United States (1‑1) Peru, Peru (3‑0) Chile, Germany (2‑1) Peru, Netherlands (2‑1) Peru, Sweden (0‑0) Peru, Saudi Arabia (0‑3) Peru, Peru (2‑0) Scotland, Iceland (1‑3) Peru and Peru (2‑0) Croatia. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches Peru has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition. They have been able to score first and have done so in 7 of the last 9 matches for the Friendlies, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 4 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 5 of them. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Peru, even in the defeats suffered in the friendly this year, has been showing good football, played games of equal against France, the Netherlands and Germany and comes from 2 good performances, including beaten the strong Chile and now has a more relaxed game ahead, coming as the great favorite. The team is characterized by a good balance between the offensive and defensive sectors, being a team that defends well, leaves few spaces behind, but still manages to press and creates opportunities, usually in quick exits and betting on the speed of its side players. 
Playing at home, like Thursday's match,the team has been performing very well, winning the last 7 friendlies, this year comes from 3 consecutive big wins where it scored 7 goals and did not suffer any, even facing teams of the highest quality such as Chile and Croatia, the 2018 World Cup runner-up. 
For the game against Ecuador, coach Ricardo Gareca should keep the team in 4-5-1 with 3 offensive midfielders that support all the time and 2 more defensive midfielders giving shelter to the defense.

Confirmed Lineup: Pedro Gallese, Luis Advíncula, Luis Abram, Christian Ramos, Miguel Trauco, Jefferson Farfán, Edison Flores, Renato Tapia, André Carrillo, Yoshimar Yotún, Raúl Ruidíaz.
Coach: J. Fossati Lurachi.

Analysis Ecuador

The away team plays its 5th friendly match of the year. In the previous friendly matches they registered the following final scores: Oman (0‑0) Ecuador, Qatar (4‑3) Ecuador, Ecuador (2‑0) Guatemala and Ecuador (2‑0) Jamaica. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 5 away matches Ecuador has tied 1 and lost 4. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 4 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 14 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Ecuador has dropped a lot of income in the last few years, was out of the last World Cup after finishing the South American qualifying rounds in the penultimate place and has its first big challenge of 2018, since in the last 4 friendly matches it faced very low quality national teams, including lost 2 of these games surprisingly. The team has problems both in the offensive and defensive sectors, as it likes to push hard and seek the goal from the start, but end up leaving a lot of space behind, so much so that recently conceded 4 goals to the weak national team of Qatar, needing to revise urgently its way of playing. 
Playing away from home, like Thursday's match, Ecuador won only 1 of the last 9 friendlies, just against El Salvador's fragile team, being a team that finds enormous difficulties in this type of situation, because it defends even worse and attacks with less intensity. 
For the game against Peru, coach Hernan Gomez should keep the 4-3-3 he has been using in the last rounds, but a little more defensive, since he knows the quality of the Peruvian attack.

Confirmed Lineup: Alexander Domínguez, Juan Carlos Paredes, Gabriel Achilier, Arturo Mina, Antonio Valencia, Beder Caicedo, Jefferson Orejuela, Jefferson Montero, Carlos Gruezo, Jhegson Mendez Carabali, Enner Valencia.
Coach: G. Alfaro.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Peru vs Ecuador match, on 16 November 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Peru wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Peru vs Ecuador on 16 November 2018 will be played at Lima, Estadio Nacional de Lima.

 

Friendlies - 2018

  • 94% 390 / 414 Games

  • Home team wins 44.87%
  • Draws 28.72%
  • Away team wins 26.41%
  • Over 1.5 65.64%
  • Over 2.5 41.28%
  • Over 3.5 23.85%
  • Goals 918
  • Goals /match 2.35
  • Goals /match home 1.4
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 39.23%
  • Goals after 80' 11.98%
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