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Vaprus Harju Jalgpallikool betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In this match between Vaprus and Harju JK, it is quite likely that the home team will perform better and achieve a positive result, as they are used to scoring goals at home, while their opponent has a defensive system that definitely does not work when playing away from home.
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Preview
Vaprus and Harju JK face at Pärnu Rannastaadion, in a match for the 30th round of the Meistriliiga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑04‑2025, Vaprus got an away win by (0‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 05‑04‑2025, in a match for the Meistriliiga they tied (1‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Magnus Villota (45' ), for Vaprus, and by Karel Eerme (68' ), for Harju JK. Although this is a match between 6th and 9th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 8th best in home matches and the 8th best in away matches.

Analysis Vaprus

The home team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Trans, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Kuressaare, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 13 points in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 10 conceded, against 10 points won at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 19 conceded. For the league, Vaprus won 10 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 9 of the last 11 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Vaprus comes for the 19th round of the Estonian Championship knowing they haven't won in four rounds, thus currently sitting in 6th place, eight points ahead of the first team at risk of relegation, Laagri, in 9th place, and well behind the leaders (almost twenty points behind). Playing with a 3-5-1-1 tactical formation, the team seeks to heavily populate the midfield to gain some control of the match and avoid suffering as much, while also having several players to initiate offensive plays. Looking at Vaprus's last nine home games, we can highlight that they have been undefeated in six of them and have scored goals in seven, demonstrating that their attack usually works when playing at home.

Confirmed Lineup: Ott Nõmm, Joonas Sild, Magnus Villota, Kevin Aloe, Marko Lipp, Tristan Pajo, Henri Välja, Virgo Vallik, Sander Kapper, Enrico Veensalu, Kevin Kauber.
Coach: I. Prins.

Analysis Harju JK

The away team plays against Vaprus a match for the 30 round, which had been delayed, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in the league so far. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 8 points in away matches and 7 at their stadium, with 8 goals scored and 12 goals conceded at home, against 13 goals scored and 30 goals conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Cup, they got a home win against TransferWise by (26‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Harju JK has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 losses in the last away matches and they haven't won any of the last 6 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 2‑0 (5 out of 12 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 10 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 20 matches for the Meistriliiga, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Harju JK enters the field for this 19th round of the Estonian Championship knowing it urgently needs a win, as it currently sits in second-to-last place, just two points ahead of last-place JK Tallinna and two points behind 8th-place Kuressaare. Playing in a traditional 4-4-2 tactical formation, the team tries to balance a protected defensive system (which hasn't been working) while also having four players in midfield to initiate attacking plays. As a visitor, the team has had a rather inconsistent performance, accumulating two wins, two draws, and eight losses, ranking third worst away from home in the competition. Looking at the five away matches Harju JK has played in the championship, it's worth noting that they've lost all of them and conceded at least two goals in four.

Confirmed Lineup: I. Baturins, A. Kaevats, K. Laur, A. Järve, K. Antonov, D. Rudenko, J. Ribeiro, Usalifa Indi, K. Rõõmussaar, Ramol Sillamaa, K. Eerme.
Coach: L. Nuuma.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Vaprus vs Harju JK match, on 25 July 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Draw no bet, Vaprus ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Vaprus vs Harju JK on 25 July 2025 will be played at Pärnu, Pärnu Rannastaadion.

 

Meistriliiga - 2025

  • 99% 182 / 183 Games

  • Home team wins 46.7%
  • Draws 13.19%
  • Away team wins 40.11%
  • Over 1.5 82.97%
  • Over 2.5 68.13%
  • Over 3.5 37.91%
  • Goals 576
  • Goals /match 3.16
  • Goals /match home 1.73
  • Goals /match away 1.43
  • Both teams score 54.95%
  • Goals after 80' 14.41%
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