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Helmond Sport De Graafschap betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This game could be considered a friendly, as Helmond have already been eliminated from any chance of promotion, while De Graafschap have already secured themselves a place in the playoffs to try for their remaining place in the Eredivisie next season. We're betting on Under 3.0 Asian Goals as it's an entry that's only been lost in 4 of the 18 matches played at Helmond's stadium and in 7 of De Graafschap's 18 away games.
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Preview
Helmond and De Graafschap face at SolarUnie Stadion, in a match for the 38th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 13‑09‑2024, Helmond Sport got an away win by (2‑3). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, on 16‑02‑2024, Helmond Sport won by (3‑1). Álvaro Marín (26' and 43' ) and Martijn Kaars (90' ) scored for Helmond and Simon Colyn (18' ) for De Graafschap. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 13th and 6th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 12th best team in home matches and the 13th best in away matches.

Analysis Helmond

After 12 wins, 10 draws and 15 losses, the home team is in the 13th position, havinf won 46 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against FC Den Bosch by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑0) an away match against Jong Ajax. This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. In the last 10 home league matches Helmond has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Helmond are already eliminated from any chance of qualifying for the playoffs. Therefore, the club is just playing catch-up and the final matchday will determine their final position, which could range from 10th to the current 13th place in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. The biggest problem is that Helmond haven't won in 8 matches (4 draws and 4 defeats). At their home stadium, on the other hand, they have been unbeaten for 4 matches (1 win and 3 draws). The team is the third worst tackler in the league (average of exactly 16 tackles per game) and has become the third most fouled (13.8 tackles per game). Still, they have the third worst clean sheet record (they've finished just 7 games without conceding a goal). Coach Robert Maaskant will have to make changes to his starting line-up, based on a 4-3-3 tactical formation, with the return of striker Anthony van den Hurk, a native of Curaçao and a standout in the Helmond squad (15 goals and 3 assists in 33 games). The only absentee is right-back Sem Dekkers, out injured since March 14, 2025.

Confirmed Lineup: Wouter van der Steen, Justin Ogenia, Bryan Van Hove, Jonas Scholz, Flor Van den Eynden, Helgi Fródi Ingason, Alen Dizdarevic, Enrik Ostrc, Anthony van den Hurk , Tarik Essakkati, Lennerd Daneels.
Coach: R. Maaskant.

Analysis De Graafschap

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 62 points won, after 18 wins, 8 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against VVV‑Venlo, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Telstar, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 18 points in away matches and 44 at their stadium, with 46 goals scored and 19 conceded at home, against 23 goals scored and 30 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches De Graafschap has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 16 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

De Graafschap have already qualified for the playoffs, but their final position in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 could still be 5th place if they win and Dordrecht lose. The problem, however, is that De Graafschap have lost their last three away games. Even so, they boast the third best attack in the league (69 goals scored in total and an average of 1.86 goals scored per matchday). The significant number of goals is justified by the fact that De Graafschap are the third highest scorers (average of 16.1 shots per game) and especially the team with the most shots on goal (5.8 shots on goal per game). Coach Marinus Dijkhuizen could repeat his previous starting line-up, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical formation, as his only absentee is midfielder Stan Wevers, who suffered a serious knee injury on 23-08-2024. However, important names were spared in the last game, such as Moroccan left winger Ibrahim El Kadiri, a standout in the De Graafschap squad (7 goals and 5 assists in 33 appearances).

Confirmed Lineup: Ties Wieggers, Kaya Symons, Rio Hillen, M. Willemsen, Rowan Besselink, D. Warmerdam, P. Brittijn, Mimoun Mahi, Wanya Marçal, T. van Gilst, Jack Cooper-Love.
Coach: R. Robbemond.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Helmond vs De Graafschap match, on 9 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Handicap, Under 3 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Helmond vs De Graafschap on 9 May 2025 will be played at Helmond, SolarUnie Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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