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Melgar ADC Juan Pablo II betting prediction
 Melgar |
|  ADC Juan Pablo II |
Betting suggestion:
Melgar are clear favorites, especially as they play at home and face an opponent with many defensive problems. The difference in organization, familiarity and regularity should weigh heavily on the match, and the home side will tend to dominate possession and create the best chances. The away side, who have already conceded seven goals in the league, could find it very difficult to contain their opponents' pace. Given this context, the most promising bet here is for Melgar to win in the first half.
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Preview
Melgar and ADC Juan Pablo II face at Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, in a match for the 4th round of the Primera División. The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 02‑07‑2025, and ended in a draw by (1‑1). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since ADC Juan Pablo II presents significant differences between home and away performances.
Analysis Melgar
The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 3 points won, after 9 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Cusco FC, by (0‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Alianza Atlético, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Melgar has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 21 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 4. In the last 10 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (31'‑45').
Melgar have so far picked up one win, one draw and one defeat, with four points and a negative goal difference (2-3). Although the defense needs to be more solid, the team has shown an ability to control possession and create consistent chances, especially at home. The team works calmly when circulating the ball and tends to be patient when creating, which allows them to neutralize more unstable opponents. Technically more qualified, they tend to impose a high tempo from the middle forward, with wingers supporting and midfielders articulating.
Melgar have so far picked up one win, one draw and one defeat, with four points and a negative goal difference (2-3). Although the defense needs to be more solid, the team has shown an ability to control possession and create consistent chances, especially at home. The team works calmly when circulating the ball and tends to be patient when creating, which allows them to neutralize more unstable opponents. Technically more qualified, they tend to impose a high tempo from the middle forward, with wingers supporting and midfielders articulating.
Confirmed Lineup: Carlos Cáceda, Matías Lazo, Pier Barrios, Mathías Llontop, Leonel González, Horacio Orzán, Tomás Martínez, Alexis Arias, Bernardo Cuesta , Cristian Bordacahar, Jhonny Vidales.
Coach: N. Lorenzo.
Analysis ADC Juan Pablo II
The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 3 points won, after 6 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Sport Huancayo, by (5‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Alianza Lima, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches ADC Juan Pablo II has a record of 1 draw and 9 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 30 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 10 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
On the other hand, ADC Juan Pablo II are struggling. With just one win in three games, they have conceded seven goals, which shows their defensive fragility and the few adjustments they have made in their matches. Away from home, the team will have to shrink back in order to maintain their defensive composure, but their lack of confidence and understanding could prove decisive. If they manage to minimize space and rely on quick transitions, they have a better chance of competing, but the scenario points more to difficulties than good prospects.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 10 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
On the other hand, ADC Juan Pablo II are struggling. With just one win in three games, they have conceded seven goals, which shows their defensive fragility and the few adjustments they have made in their matches. Away from home, the team will have to shrink back in order to maintain their defensive composure, but their lack of confidence and understanding could prove decisive. If they manage to minimize space and rely on quick transitions, they have a better chance of competing, but the scenario points more to difficulties than good prospects.
Confirmed Lineup: Matías Vega, Renzo José Ignacio Alfani, Juan Martín Peralta, Fabio Eduardo Agurto Mendoza, Jorge Jair Toledo Bravo, Álvaro Rojas Quesada, Christian Martín Flores Córdova, John Richard Vega Ramos, Emiliano Agustín Villar Vidal, Cristhian Andrés Tizón Correa, Flavio Fernández.
Coach: S. Acasiete Ariadela.
Primera División
Primera División - 2025
- 95% 316 / 333 Games
- Home team wins 48.42%
- Draws 24.68%
- Away team wins 26.9%
- Over 1.5 72.47%
- Over 2.5 50.95%
- Over 3.5 26.27%
- Goals 832
- Goals /match 2.63
- Goals /match home 1.58
- Goals /match away 1.05
- Both teams score 51.9%
- Goals after 80' 20.43%
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