AVS Casa Pia betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

José Mota is an experienced coach and, after displays like the one against Arouca, he is known for having a “stern word” with his players and usually there is a reaction in the following match. The result may improve or not, but a different attitude is expected from AFS, especially as they cannot afford to waste the chance of playing at home and trying to pick up points. Therefore, as AFS will have to go in search of a goal, the bet combining the double chance in favour of AFS with over 1.5 goals looks appealing, particularly as Casa Pia are strong on the counter and could also get on the scoresheet.
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Preview
AVS and Casa Pia face at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in a match for the 2nd round of the Primeira Liga. In the last 3 years these teams met twice: the earliest head‑to‑head was played on 19‑04‑2025 and ended in a (1‑1) draw, and the latest on 08‑12‑2024, which ended in a (1‑1) draw, Casa Pia registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis AVS

The home team comes to this 2nd round after a (3‑1) loss in their league debut, against Arouca. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 25 conceded. AVS has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 17 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 15 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

The AFS side began with a defeat away to Arouca, a setback that exposed certain frailties in the team now under the management of José Mota. The northern outfit were unable to stand up to a side that, while a level above them in terms of quality, is by no means one of the league’s strongest. The truth is that AFS were not able to press high, or at least not to do so effectively. They failed to put Arouca under pressure, and by the 62nd minute the home side were already leading 3-0. The best AFS could manage was to pull one back to make it 3-1, but they left a very poor impression for a team that aspires to remain in the top flight.

Confirmed Lineup: Simão Verza Bertelli, Cristian David Castro Devenish, Guillem Molina Gutiérrez, Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos, Christian Neiva Afonso, Pedro Lima Barros, Jaume Grau Ciscar, Ángel Algobia Esteves, Rafael Avelino Pereira Pinto Barbosa, Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola, Jordi Escobar.
Coach: J. Costa Almeida.

Analysis Casa Pia

The away team comes to this 2nd round after a (0‑2) loss in their league debut, against Sporting CP. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Casa Pia has won 2, tied 3 and lost 5. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

The Casa Pia side also looked well below the level they showed last season. Despite the result against Sporting being by the same margin (two goals) as in their last meeting, the truth is that Casa Pia barely managed to trouble the “Lions’” defence. Even so, this is not Casa Pia’s league playing and winning against the big clubs. This match, away to AFS, will be of vital importance, especially as it is against a direct rival in the fight for survival. Last season, this fixture ended in a 1-1 draw.

Confirmed Lineup: Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías, João Pedro Goulart Silva, Fahem Benaissa-Yahia, Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea, Duplexe Tchamba Bangou, José Miguel da Rocha Fonte, Yassin Oukili, Iyad Inomse M'Vourani Mohamed, Jérémy Livolant, Cassiano Dias Moreira, Oluwakorede David Osundina.
Coach: N. Pereira Costa.

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Primeira Liga - 2025/2026

  • 23% 72 / 307 Games

  • Home team wins 36.11%
  • Draws 27.78%
  • Away team wins 36.11%
  • Over 1.5 79.17%
  • Over 2.5 50%
  • Over 3.5 22.22%
  • Goals 183
  • Goals /match 2.54
  • Goals /match home 1.35
  • Goals /match away 1.19
  • Both teams score 44.44%
  • Goals after 80' 20.22%
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