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Moreirense Porto betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Despite a possible dip in form from the Dragons, the truth is that the qualitative gap between the two teams remains very large. The Dragons are in great need of a victory to avert a potential “slump” scenario, which became more evident after the defeat at Nottingham. Therefore, a determined FC Porto is expected to fight for the three points. A narrow win would always carry risk, so it is natural that the Porto side will look to achieve a two-goal advantage, making the bet combining a Dragons’ victory with over 1.5 goals very appealing.
 
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Preview
Moreirense and Porto meet at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, in a match for the 9th round of the Primeira Liga. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑12‑2024, in a match for the Primeira Liga, Porto won by (0‑3). The goals of the match were scored by André Franco (88' ), Samu Omorodion (16' ) and Rodrigo Mora (66' ) for Porto. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Moreirense presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Moreirense

The home team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 5 wins and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Casa Pia, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Nacional, by (3‑2). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away loss against Fafe by (1‑0).

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 6 of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 16 of the last 18 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals.

Moreirense seems to be losing some of the momentum it showed in the early rounds. In the last 5 matches, they alternated between wins and losses, although two of those defeats came in very tough games, against strong teams such as champions Sporting and the sensational Gil Vicente, in Barcelos. In the last round, Vasco Costa’s side lost again, but at another difficult venue, the Estádio da Choupana, going down 3-2. Now they face an FC Porto, who are also going through a dip in form. It remains to be seen if they have the capacity to at least take points from the favourites FC Porto.
 

Confirmed Lineup: André Ferreira, Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues, Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto, Marcelo dos Santos Ferreira, Travassos, Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga, Mateja Stjepanović, Bernardo Sousa Pereira Brites Martins, Alan de Souza Guimarães, Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi, Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa.
Coach: C. Bacci.

Analysis Porto

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 21 points won, after 7 wins and 1 draw. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Arouca, by (0‑4). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Benfica, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away loss against Nottingham Forest by (2‑0).

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 8 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 7 of the last 8 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 6 of those 7 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'.

Farioli’s side began the Benfica game on a downward phase, which is quite natural, as it would have been almost impossible to maintain the same level, and even the same hectic pace, of the opening rounds. The last match, at Nottingham Forest, who are not having a good season in the English league, confirmed this lower performance from the Blues and Whites. A game they lost 2-0, though it could have been by more, showing little capacity to compete in the match. Now, back in Liga Portugal and at a difficult venue, the Dragons need to prove they are still the best team in the league and can maintain their lead without losing ground to Sporting.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Diogo Costa, Jakub Kiwior, Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Francisco Moura, Gabri Veiga, Alan Varela, Victor Froholdt, Samu Aghehowa , Borja Sainz, Pepê.
Coach: S. Marceneiro Conceição.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Moreirense vs Porto match, on 28 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: FC Porto wins & Over 1.5 Goals ⇒ bet available on 10bet.

The Moreirense vs Porto on 28 October 2025 will be played at Moreira de Cónegos, Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy India, for the Moreirense Porto match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Porto at with 83% of the tips.

 

Primeira Liga - 2025/2026

  • 32% 99 / 307 Games

  • Home team wins 35.35%
  • Draws 26.26%
  • Away team wins 38.38%
  • Over 1.5 80.81%
  • Over 2.5 51.52%
  • Over 3.5 24.24%
  • Goals 264
  • Goals /match 2.67
  • Goals /match home 1.36
  • Goals /match away 1.3
  • Both teams score 45.45%
  • Goals after 80' 18.94%
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