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Nacional Peñarol betting prediction
 Nacional |
|  Peñarol |
Betting suggestion:
The showdown between Nacional and Peñarol promises to be intense, especially after the 2-2 draw in the first leg, which left everything wide open for the return fixture. Playing in front of their own fans, Nacional are expected to adopt a firmer approach, aiming to control the tempo and limit space for their opponents. The team should make the most of their home advantage, pressing at key moments and trying to turn their possession and attacking volume into a tangible advantage. Given this scenario, the recommendation is a Nacional victory, as they arrive well-positioned to secure the title on home soil.
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Preview
Nacional and Peñarol meet at Estadio Gran Parque Central, in a match for the 0ª round of the Primera División. Peñarol got an away win by (0‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 06‑07‑2025. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 10 head‑to‑heads they won 4, tied 5 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 09‑02‑2025, they tied (1‑1). J. Recoba (61' ) scored for Nacional and Maximiliano Silvera (50' ) for Peñarol. Peñarol registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.
Analysis Nacional
The home team comes to this stage of the Primera División (Intermediate Round ‑ Final) after having eliminated Peñarol with a away draw by (2‑2) in the previous round. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded. For the league, Nacional won 21 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches.
They haven’t lost any of the last 16 home matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 14 of the last 20 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 39 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times, but have turned the score around in 5.
Nacional enter the decisive match motivated by home advantage and their competitive performance in the first leg; the team know they will need to impose their tempo, occupy spaces effectively, and channel the crowd’s energy into performance on the pitch. In such a tightly contested clash, emotional control will be crucial to avoid mistakes in dangerous areas. A firm approach is expected, with physical intensity and constant pursuit of goals. Nacional will look to exploit any gaps to settle a tie likely to be decided by the finest of margins.
They haven’t lost any of the last 16 home matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 14 of the last 20 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 39 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times, but have turned the score around in 5.
Nacional enter the decisive match motivated by home advantage and their competitive performance in the first leg; the team know they will need to impose their tempo, occupy spaces effectively, and channel the crowd’s energy into performance on the pitch. In such a tightly contested clash, emotional control will be crucial to avoid mistakes in dangerous areas. A firm approach is expected, with physical intensity and constant pursuit of goals. Nacional will look to exploit any gaps to settle a tie likely to be decided by the finest of margins.
Confirmed Lineup: L. Mejía, J. Millán, S. Coates, E. Ancheta, D. Romero, C. Oliva, L. Rodríguez, L. Boggio, Maximiliano Gómez, Nicolás López, G. Carneiro.
Coach: M. Lasarte Arrospide.
Analysis Peñarol
The away team comes to this stage of the Primera División (Intermediate Round ‑ Final) after a home draw by (2‑2) against Nacional. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 13 wins and 2 draws at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 4 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Peñarol has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 40 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have only turned the score around in 4.
Peñarol take to the field determined not to let the title slip away, even while playing away from home. The team have shown solidity throughout the competition and arrive prepared for a physically demanding match with tight marking. “El Carbonero” are expected to maintain defensive organisation while relying on quick transitions to catch their opponents off guard. Concentration will be crucial in a typically tense clash with few clear-cut chances. Needing a win, the side are likely to adopt an aggressive approach, exploiting every error from their rivals to try and secure the trophy.
Peñarol take to the field determined not to let the title slip away, even while playing away from home. The team have shown solidity throughout the competition and arrive prepared for a physically demanding match with tight marking. “El Carbonero” are expected to maintain defensive organisation while relying on quick transitions to catch their opponents off guard. Concentration will be crucial in a typically tense clash with few clear-cut chances. Needing a win, the side are likely to adopt an aggressive approach, exploiting every error from their rivals to try and secure the trophy.
Confirmed Lineup: Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández, Nahuel Herrera, Emanuel Gularte, Pedro Milans, Maximiliano Olivera, Jesús Trindade, Leonardo Fernández, Eric Remedi, Ignacio Sosa, Maximiliano Silvera, Matías Arezo.
Coach: J. Larriera Dibarboure.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Nacional Peñarol match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the Nacional vs Peñarol match, on 1 December 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy India, goes to: Nacional wins ⇒ bet available on 10bet.
👉 In which stadium will the Nacional Peñarol be played?
The Nacional vs Peñarol on 1 December 2025 will be played at Montevideo, Estadio Gran Parque Central.
👉 Which is the most voted bet for this match?
The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy India, for the Nacional Peñarol match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Peñarol at with 100% of the tips.
Primera División - 2025
- 100% 300 / 300 Games
- Home team wins 35.67%
- Draws 37%
- Away team wins 27.33%
- Over 1.5 66.67%
- Over 2.5 42.67%
- Over 3.5 21.33%
- Goals 696
- Goals /match 2.32
- Goals /match home 1.27
- Goals /match away 1.05
- Both teams score 48.33%
- Goals after 80' 19.4%
Football Competitions
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