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Houston Dynamo St. Louis City betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Houston returns to their stadium after a tough encounter and needs to secure points to maintain their ambitions in the Western Conference table. St. Louis City has been facing physical difficulties and poor results, which may affect their performance. Therefore, backing a Houston win is recommended, as the home side is better placed to impose an offensive rhythm and achieve a positive result against a fatigued opponent.
 
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Preview
Houston and St. Louis City meet at Shell Energy Stadium, in a match of the MLS. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 1 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the MLS, on 05‑05‑2024, they tied (0‑0). St. Louis City registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Houston

The home team comes to this stage of the MLS (Regular Season) after having eliminated Minnesota United with a away loss by (3‑1) in the previous round. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Houston has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 9 of the last 10 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

After facing Minnesota in a tough game, Houston returns home at a crucial moment. The team needs to score points in these conditions and will not spare any effort to overcome St. Louis City, who have also been struggling this MLS season. Betting on a more attacking approach this time could be the key factor to securing a very important victory for their ambitions in the Western Conference table.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Jonathan Bond, Franco Escobar, Pablo Antonio Ortiz Cabezas, Felipe de Andrade Vieira, Erik Sviatchenko, Ondřej Lingr, Artur, Duane Holmes, Amine Bassi, Brooklyn Raines, Ezequiel Ponce.
Coach: B. Olsen.

Analysis St. Louis City

The away team comes to this stage of the MLS (Regular Season) after a home loss by (2‑4) against Orlando City. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches St. Louis City has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 losses in the last away matches and they haven't won any of the last 7 away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (46'‑60'); they have conceded 8 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

St. Louis City, after a physically demanding game against the strong Orlando City, knows they cannot turn up to this MLS round fatigued, showing clear signs of tiredness. Their position in the Western Conference table is still uncomfortable, highlighting the importance of continuing to give their all to try and secure points, whether through wins or draws. Focusing on an error-free performance will increase their chances of success against Houston.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Roman Bürki, Jayden Reid, Joseph Zalinsky, Michael Wentzel, Jake Girdwood-Reich, Alfredo Morales, Conrad Wallem, Marcel Hartel, Simon Becher, Klauss, Célio Antonio Pompeu Pinheiro Martins.
Coach: O. Mellberg.

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MLS - 2025

  • 57% 271 / 476 Games

  • Home team wins 43.17%
  • Draws 26.57%
  • Away team wins 30.26%
  • Over 1.5 73.43%
  • Over 2.5 54.24%
  • Over 3.5 32.47%
  • Goals 781
  • Goals /match 2.88
  • Goals /match home 1.59
  • Goals /match away 1.3
  • Both teams score 54.98%
  • Goals after 80' 16.9%
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